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February 05, 2009 | By: FP Trading Desk |
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Mr. Stewart initiated coverage on Yamana late last week, rating the stock a "buy" with a C$13 price target, based in part on a gold price assumption of $725 per ounce.
Gold was trading at $908 per ounce on Tuesday morning and some pundits of the yellow metal, including Eric Sprott of Sprott Asset Management, believe it could hit $2000 in the coming years.
"Yamana's share price suffered in 2008 due to integration concerns with acquisitions made in 2007 and its exposure to copper," the analyst said in a note to clients.
Based on our 2009 estimates, it currently trades at a 15.5x P/E multiple versus the peer average of 24.8x and a 9.9x P/CFPS versus the peer average of 15.0x. We submit that Yamana is under-valued in comparison to its peers offering investors a good entry point.
Mr. Stewart said Yamana can grow its commercial gold equivalent ounce production by 36% to 1.35 million ounces in 2009. By 2012, he expects production to hit 1.73 million ounces.
In addition, he said the gold producer will likely add 7 million ounce to its reserve/resource base, which will add about as much as C$1 to his net asset value for the company.
The analyst is also encouraged by an expected decline in the miner's exposure to copper, which has been a thorn in the company's side, due to the decimation of copper prices last year. In 2009, copper is estimated to represent 19% of Yamana's total pie, down from 36% in 2008.
Yamana Gold shares closed at C$9.48 on Monday, down C$.46 or 4.68%.
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